Winning this market requires long-term endurance - you have to sustain your chosen side's lead in the market rather than just dumping lots of mana in all at once. However, buying your side a greater lead reduces the time you have to sustain that lead.
Once Paperclips and Staples have at least 5 traders each, the game will start. The market will resolve to Paperclips or Staples once that option has been above X% for 100-X hours, for some X greater than 50. The market's odds must not dip below X% for the entire period.
For example, an option could win by staying above 50.1% for 49.9 hours, 75% for 25 hours, or 99.9% for 6 minutes.
Once one side has won, please comment in the market explaining how. I will check the trading history and resolve the market.
I will not bet in this market.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน326 | |
| 2 | แน41 | |
| 3 | แน29 | |
| 4 | แน15 | |
| 5 | แน10 |
is there any way to see more significant digits in the share price, or do i need to figure out the API?
@simoj But I had assumed we would just use the value that's displayed. It's been at 94% since 8:41 AM PDT, so I think there are about 13 minutes left.
@CDBiddulph For the sake of argument, in the event that there are exactly 5 stakeholders on each side, and I am 1 on each of them, would that trigger the start?
What if it dropped to 4 stakeholders after that?
@Quroe I'll go ahead and say that traders with positions in both sides will be ignored. However, once the start condition is triggered, it can't be untriggered.
@CDBiddulph Is it even possible to have a position on both sides at the same time? I thought they would cancel out and return your mana until you only have a position on one side.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 And this photo also coincides. It only shows me with my foot on one side of the fence.
