Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Timing: The outcome is determined one week after market closure.
Criteria: If the chance is more than 69%, the market resolves as "yes"; otherwise, it resolves as "no".
1,000@luvkprovider After one week (when this market is closed), if the chance is more than 69%, then the answer will be "yes". Otherwise, the answer will be "no"
@BryantYu Are you planning to move this market above 69% right before it closes? Because I don't know why you would bet YES over 50% when a NO resolution is inherently more likely
@luvkprovider Firstly, I don't have enough mana to move this market anymore (sadly, i only have 77 mana remaining after making many questions).
On the other hand, a trader with lots of money can move this market and win if they get it to above 69%. Since many conservative traders might vote no, this would make the win if above 69% greater, which is an incentive.