If the Democratic party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?

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Ṁ1632

resolved Dec 8

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This market resolves as N/A if the Dems do not win the 2024 election.

If they do, the marked resolves as YES if Ukraine is in control of all of its internationally-recognized territory as of 2029-02-24, and NO otherwise.

See the corresponding market for the GOP winning: https://manifold.markets/BrunoParga/if-the-republican-party-wins-the-20

If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?

50% chance. This market resolves as N/A if the GOP does not win the 2024 election. If they do, the marked resolves as YES if Ukraine is in control of all of its internationally-recognized territory as of 2029-02-24, and NO otherwise.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

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@BrunoParga I've resolved it for you!

@Conflux thank you!

@mods can you please N/A this market? I get a message saying that my balance would go too far into negative if I were to return all the fees, which I'm not even sure is all that fair. AFAIK, when I created the market there was no rule that I would lose any balance by N/Aing, and the question is a conditional that traders could well have known might not happen.

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