Will Manchester City finish with a top 5 position in the Premier League during the 2022-2023 season?
resolved May 24

"Manchester City have been charged by the Premier League over breaking financial rules across nine seasons, the league announced on Monday.

The Premier League confirmed that a number of alleged breaches between the 2009-10 and 2017-18 seasons have been referred to an independent commission with the conclusion of a four-year investigation.

The commission will be held in private and can impose open-ended sanctions, which could include fines, points deductions or relegation from the Premier League." - ESPN

Given the potential penalties that Manchester City faces (including the deduction of points or relegation), will the team finish in a top 5 position in the Premier League (as measured by points accumulated)?

This question will resolve positively if the Premier League website (https://www.premierleague.com/) does not (EDIT: see below) list Manchester City as having a top 5 position.

EDIT: the final sentence in the original description seems to contradict the question title and previous sentences in the description. To clarify, this question will resolve YES if the Premier League website lists Man City in the top 5 by the end of the 2022-2023 season. The market will resolve NO otherwise. It seems like most people interpreted the question in this way.

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MayMeta avatar
MayMetabought Ṁ500 of YES

@BrunoNeira This can resolve YES because Manchester City officially qualified for the Champions League group stage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%9323_Premier_League#League_table
This means it's 100% gonna stay in the top-4, point-wise.

Bdog avatar
Benjipredicted YES at 98.7%

@MayMeta there's still a chance they get points deducted (or worse) once the financial rules investigation is concluded. https://www.standard.co.uk/sport/football/man-city-premier-league-charges-latest-b1077361.html

MayMeta avatar
MayMetapredicted YES at 98.7%

@Bdog I see. I wasn't aware of that, thanks.

I still think there's a >99% chance they're won't be disqualified and will end up in top-5.

BrunoNeira avatar
Bruno Neirapredicted YES at 97%

@Bdog It seems like the investigation will not conclude before the end of the season, so it probably wont affect the resolution of this market. I'll wait until the end of the season anyways. I don't think this question was worded in a way such that it could resolve to NO if the investigation retroactively deducts points from Manchester City from the 2022-2023 season.

d avatar
Vobought Ṁ100 of YES

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