Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida in 2023?
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resolved Aug 30
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YES

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boughtṀ942NO
bought Ṁ134 of YES

This seems like a 99+% probability to me … would be curious to hear from the “no” crowd.

bought Ṁ35 of NO

@EdwardOrsi This list says only 8 hurricanes in Florida in the past two decades.

sold Ṁ59 of NO

@BoltonBailey that list only includes Cat 3+ hurricanes. With Cat 1 and 2 hurricanes that number goes up a little.