If Israel and Hamas enter into a ceasefire, how long will it last?
59
1kṀ25k
resolved Mar 9
100%99.2%
longer than 45 days
0.2%
0-14 days
0.1%
15-30 days
0.6%
31-45 days

  • Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Ceasefire Start Date:

    • The ceasefire is considered to have started on January 19th.

Israel
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
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Can resolve now @Bruce
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=time+since+start+of+19th+of+January+Jerusalem+time+

@Bruce resolve please

@Bruce54df can you resolve please? Sorry, I think we were tagging the wrong account. :)

It was agreed on 15th January, and came into effect on 19th January. What start date are you going by?

@PoliticalEconomyPK

@Bruce

@PoliticalEconomyPK Jan 19th

Off to a great start!

This should have the close date extended.

@lisamarsh Done. Thanks

bought Ṁ10 NO

Clarification: how long will it be agreed for, or how long will it last in practice? If the latter, what judges the “in practice”

@TomCohen Last in practice

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Bruce54df the standard pattern is that Hamas fires rockets at Israel immediately after the implementation of a truce, everyone gets mad, but every element of the truce aside from Hamas continuing to fire rockets goes ahead more or less without a hitch.

Would something like this count as the truce being broken?

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