MANIFOLD
Which state will Kamala win by the largest margin?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ1k
resolved Nov 14
Resolved
YES
Vermont
Resolved
NO
Hawaii
Resolved
NO
Other
Resolved
NO
New York
Resolved
NO
Maryland
Resolved
NO
California
Resolved
NO
Massachusetts

This market will resolve to the option corresponding to the state where Kamala Harris has the largest margin of victory over the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election.

  • The margin of victory is defined as the percentage difference between Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate.

  • The District of Columbia will not be included.

  • Percentages will be based on the official vote counts after certification.

  • If a recount occurs before certification, the market will remain open until it is completed. Recounts after certification will not affect the outcome.

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Closing the market soon! Waiting for final results

The odds are kind of different from the analogue market on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-state-will-kamala-win-by-the-largest-margin?tid=1730223039287

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