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MANIFOLD
Brazil Election 2026: Will Flávio Bolsonaro meet Donald Trump in person before Brazil’s 2026 election?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ30
Oct 3
37%
chance

This market resolves YES if Flávio Bolsonaro and Donald Trump have a publicly verifiable in-person meeting before the start of Brazil’s 2026 general election, defined as October 4, 2026, 00:00 Brasília time. Brazil’s 2026 first-round election is scheduled for October 4, 2026.

A meeting counts if there is credible evidence that Flávio Bolsonaro and Donald Trump were physically present together and directly interacted in a political, diplomatic, campaign, private, or social setting. This may include a private meeting, official meeting, campaign meeting, dinner, public event interaction, or photo/video opportunity.

This market resolves NO if no such publicly verifiable in-person meeting occurs before the deadline.

The following do not count:

  • a phone call, video call, Zoom meeting, or exchange of messages;

  • Flávio meeting only with Trump aides, advisers, family members, cabinet officials, or campaign staff;

  • both being at the same event without evidence of direct interaction;

  • rumors or unsourced social media claims;

  • a meeting occurring on or after October 4, 2026, 00:00 Brasília time.

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