What will be the value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2028, conditional on the Dem. nominee for POTUS being elected in 24?
💎
Premium
10
Ṁ2607
2028
6,812.12
expected

Resolves after the final trading day of 2028.

Resolves to 12,800 if S&P500 is higher than that. Max was chosen given the S&P 500 future for Dec 2028 trades around 6,400 when the question was created.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules