Will the next release of Claude be Sonnet 4.7?
19
1kṀ6135
Dec 31
9%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Anthropic's next major Claude model release after the market creation date is named "Claude Sonnet 4.7" or includes "Sonnet 4.7" as its primary designation. It resolves NO if the next release is any other model name or version number (e.g., Sonnet 4.6, Sonnet 5, Opus 5, etc.). Resolution will be determined by Anthropic's official announcement on their website or API documentation. If no new models by end of 2026, resolves no.

Background

The latest Claude model is Claude Opus 4.5, released in November 2025. Anthropic announced Sonnet 4.5 on September 29, 2025, presenting it as the company's most capable model at the time for coding, agents, and computer use. Claude 3.7 Sonnet was released on February 24, 2025.

Market context
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True that .7 is a weird number to do and they only did it last time because of 3.5 sonnet (new). But on the other hand, they did skip from 4.1 to 4.5. I assume Claude 5 will be a big release so maybe they do 4.7 to signify a moderate update from 4.5.

@dominic mate you got 150k mana on hand, wanna do more volume based on that hypothesis? i do not find it at all likely. limits up

@Bayesian Not at 14%. I think it’s possible, not super likely

WHAT

opened a Ṁ5,000 NO at 20% order

@prismatic maybe interested in filling at 20%?

@Bayesian I backed out after some further research, maybe in a couple of weeks, depending on the rumor mill

@prismatic all the homies are talking about sonnet 4.7 release imminent (/s), wanna bet some more?

@Bayesian this has got to be stealing from the poor 😭. I don’t think I’m ready to get in the market still

@prismatic I am always selling to willing buyers at the current fair market price :p

opened a Ṁ20,000 NO at 8% order

but ok you drive a hard bargain. 8% it is

bought Ṁ25 YES

@Bayesian for shits and giggles

@Bayesian you can take all my money later in the year tho, will probably start a 20k market

@prismatic fun, good luck!

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