Will the heated outcry from the LA fires kindle a burning decision by Mayor Karen Bass to resign in the Next Month?
15
1.5kṀ18k
Feb 21
1%
chance

Background Karen Bass, the Mayor of Los Angeles, is facing significant public backlash and calls for her resignation following her handling of recent wildfires. Multiple petitions, including one on Change.org with over 150,000 signatures, are demanding her resignation. The controversy intensified after Bass traveled to Ghana during the crisis and implemented budget cuts to the fire department. She has since publicly acknowledged that the Ghana trip was a mistake.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve as YES if Karen Bass formally announces her resignation from the position of Los Angeles Mayor or officially steps down from office before [30 days from market creation]. The market will resolve as NO if she remains in office through this period.

For resolution purposes:

  • A leave of absence or temporary stepping aside does not count as a resignation

  • If Bass announces her resignation during the market period but sets an effective date beyond the market period, this still counts as YES

  • If Bass is removed from office through recall or other means but does not voluntarily resign, this resolves as NO

Considerations While there is significant public pressure for Bass's resignation, including a growing recall movement, it's worth noting that sitting mayors of major U.S. cities rarely resign due to public pressure alone. The last Los Angeles mayor to resign before completing their term was Frank Shaw in 1938.

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