Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th? | Manifold

Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th?

Basic

67

Ṁ5556

resolved Oct 19

Resolved

NO

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Jimmy apples teasing something from Anthropic: https://x.com/apples_jimmy/status/1844416663925719146?s=61

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on

Dario’s new tweet

+80%

on

Anthropic’s staff is getting “active”

+90%

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OpenAI is preparing to launch GPT 4.5 to compete with Claude 3.5 Opus (Sources on Twitter)

+95%

on

One day remaining, sell while you can

+1.0%

on

This will be resolved "Yes" if Anthropic announce Claude-3.5 Opus to the public by Friday, October 18th.

Otherwise, this question will be resolved as "No".

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Since Anthropic didn’t do so, I’ve found another Jimmy’s Tweet and another type the 22nd of October: https://manifold.markets/Brain4brain/will-anthropic-launch-a-new-product

bought Ṁ25 NO

"This will be resolved "Yes" if Anthropic announce Claude-3.5 Opus to the public by Friday, October 18th."

It was announced already. It's not the same as launched.

bought Ṁ30 YES

What's the "getting active" part?

@MalachiteEagle Some employee is commenting something crytpic

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Related questions

Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?

When will Claude 4 be released?

What will Claude 3.5 Opus's reported 0-shot performance on GPQA Diamond be upon release?

What GUI tasks will Claude be able to do automatically before end of 2024?

In which quarter will Claude 4 be released?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?

What will be the *first* ELO Rating of Claude 3.5 Opus in the LMSYS Arena?

Will Anthropic Claude be publicly available in Canada as of EOY 2024?

Will Claude MCP have equivalent functionality to a Claude Computer Use module by EOY2025?

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