Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th?
67
100Ṁ5556resolved Oct 19
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will be resolved "Yes" if Anthropic announce Claude-3.5 Opus to the public by Friday, October 18th.
Otherwise, this question will be resolved as "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ329 | |
| 2 | Ṁ208 | |
| 3 | Ṁ167 | |
| 4 | Ṁ93 | |
| 5 | Ṁ82 |
People are also trading
When will Claude 4 be released?
What will Claude 3.5 Opus's reported 0-shot performance on GPQA Diamond be upon release?
Which will be released first: Claude 3.5 Opus or Claude 4.0 Sonnet?
Anthropic releases Claude 3.7+ Sonnet
9/20/25
Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?
40% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Will the Claude 4 series of models come out before 2026?
99% chance
What will be the *first* ELO Rating of Claude 3.5 Opus in the LMSYS Arena?
Sort by:
Since Anthropic didn’t do so, I’ve found another Jimmy’s Tweet and another type the 22nd of October: https://manifold.markets/Brain4brain/will-anthropic-launch-a-new-product
bought Ṁ25 NO
"This will be resolved "Yes" if Anthropic announce Claude-3.5 Opus to the public by Friday, October 18th."
It was announced already. It's not the same as launched.
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Claude 4 be released?
What will Claude 3.5 Opus's reported 0-shot performance on GPQA Diamond be upon release?
Which will be released first: Claude 3.5 Opus or Claude 4.0 Sonnet?
Anthropic releases Claude 3.7+ Sonnet
9/20/25
Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?
40% chance
Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?
9% chance
Will the Claude 4 series of models come out before 2026?
99% chance
What will be the *first* ELO Rating of Claude 3.5 Opus in the LMSYS Arena?