This market is a direct derivative of the following two markets, the option that resolves YES will be the one that corresponds to the options that resolve YES in these:
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@bens air traffic controllers for the general answer, and different airports at different times will have different handling of delays/lack of resources.
@bens I think it is less "these flights in particular will be impacted" and more "curiosity about these flights in particular". A shutdown vs. Thanksgiving travel disruption market might also be interesting, but seems harder to write! And sometimes the personal stuff is more interesting than the trend.
@BoltonBailey spreadsheet to show live conditional probs; feel free to copy and update if helpful!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pJhF9vJ7pp280D4IjTu1aChJUDpK_gg7ni76NB9g1G8/edit?usp=sharing