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I guess there is a further clarification, since there was a leak, what is the "announcement" time. I am going to go with the official time currently listed by the main POTY story on TIME's website, namely Dec 11, 2025 4:40 AM PT. So the stock determination will be based on the price differential between Dec 1, 2025 4:40 AM PT and Dec 21, 2025 4:40 AM PT.

@BoltonBailey In the case of Dec 1, 2025 4:40 AM PT, I guess this was a Monday before trading opened, so the price at that time would have been the closing price the previous Friday, which Yahoo tells me was 177.00

@BoltonBailey would you say huang won?

@brod What happened in the linked market, was it N/Aed?

@BoltonBailey it split the resolution between all of the people named as the "architects of ai"

@BoltonBailey Ah I see, it was a partial resolution.

Hopefully this is not too weird, but what I would like to do in situations like these for resolve-as-percent is to do the analogous resolve-as-percent here. So since the linked market resolved 12% Jensen, this market should resolve 12%/78% to whichever of the stock outcomes obtains. This promotes the ability of arbitrageurs to correct pricings, since it ensures their trades remain risk-free, as they would be if the market had resolved 100%.

@BoltonBailey Good resolution.

@BoltonBailey i'm confused. say the stock goes up, how will this resolve?

@brod If the stock goes up, this will resolve to

Huang wins // Stock goes up 12%

Huang wins // Stock goes down 0%

Huang does not win // Stock goes up 88%

Huang does not win // Stock goes down 0%

If the stock goes down, this will resolve to

Huang wins // Stock goes up 0%

Huang wins // Stock goes down 12%

Huang does not win // Stock goes up 0%

Huang does not win // Stock goes down 88%

@BoltonBailey okay right. presumably it would be 12/88 not 12/78?

@brod Thank you, I am bad at math