How many FLOP of compute will have been executed by the time chess is solved?
2
160Ṁ60
2041
83%
>= 10^30 FLOP
50%
>= 10^35 FLOP
50%
>= 10^40 FLOP
40%
>= 10^45 FLOP

I or whoever resolves this market will make a best-effort evaluation of the total number of floating-point operations that have been executed by humanity or its descendants at the time chess is solved. Solved is "ultraweak" - only a proof of the outcome with optimal play is needed.

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