By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds? | Manifold

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?

43

1kṀ3888

2050

1.7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve YES if there exists a project to reduce the frequency of leap seconds by pumping water towards the poles. The project must have resulted in at least one leap second being eliminated - in other words, the earth's rotation must have sped up by at least second relative to expectations without the project.

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https://manifold.markets/ArmandodiMatteo/will-leap-seconds-still-exist-on-31

I think we'd be more likely to come up with a way of "smearing" the leap seconds across the course of the year. I remember reading somewhere that Google does this.

On the other hand, America is still on the imperial system so who knows if it would get adoption.

I'm sure this could have no devastating and unpredictable effects on ocean life and ocean circulation patterns

but why

Cannot fathom this ever making sense. 3% seems way off

@sarpanch I have a market that you might have thoughts about

What is this false confidence?

Seems like a waste of Mana to bet on 2050, but NO.

@GrahamPoulter Mana you bet is loaned back to you over time.

Three Gorges Dam cost ~$30B and changed length of the day by 0.06 microseconds.

edited

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Related questions

By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?

Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?

Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?

Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?

Will the North Pole move more than 100 miles between 2020 and 2025?

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2025?

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?

Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?

Will seaweed farmers intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050?

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