Biden re-elected/Inflation rises
6
Ṁ120Ṁ780Jan 2
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.8%
Biden wins / CPI rises
0.9%
Biden wins / CPI falls
40%
Biden does not win / CPI rises
58%
Biden does not win / CPI falls
The outcome of this market is based off the outcomes of the following two markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms?
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024, what will the average yearly inflation be between Jan 2025 and Jan 2029?
Will Inflation Exceed 10% during any year of Trump's presidency
11% chance
Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?
11% chance
In 2028, Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" continue its 13-election win streak of predicting the US PV winner?
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
30% chance
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
10% chance