🐘 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ What will be true of the RNC / Republican National Convention? (ADD RESPONSES)
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Nov 1
Resolved
YES
Nikki Haley gets booed
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk is the richest person on Earth
Resolved
YES
A speaker insinuates that Barack Obama or Kamala Harris controls Joe Biden
Resolved
YES
Trump will nominate the VP during the event
Resolved
YES
Trump shooting mentioned by three or more speakers
Resolved
YES
An anti-taxes chant breaks out
Resolved
YES
A swear word (pg13 or worse) will be uttered on mic.
Resolved
YES
Attended by more than one WWE Hall of Famer
Resolved
YES
Trump says the phrase "finish the wall" to uproarious cheers

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Extending this market because attendance numbers still have not been released.

https://www.visitmilwaukee.org/rnc/

@BlueDragon Jesus Christ, just resolving it no and let's go!

@CryptoNeoLiberalist Omg I would love to seriously

@BlueDragon Clogging up my arteries. 🀣

reposted

We don't have all the numbers, because those numbers are being crunched by our visitors and convention bureau, VISIT Milwaukee and others.

Meme gif. Rowan Atkinson as Mr. Bean standing in an empty field, hands on his hips, looking at his watch and scratching his head.

https://www.wuwm.com/2024-08-19/mayor-johnson-reflects-on-milwaukee-hosting-the-rnc-and-looks-ahead-to-the-dnc

reposted

Still no reported estimates of how many actually attended; extending this market to the end of July for those who want to speculate.

Prediction prior to the event was 50,000.

opened a αΉ€1,000 The event will bring... NO at 62% order

I will resolve this last question NO unless the reported estimates of how many visitors came to Milwaukee EXCEED 50,000.

MAGA hats will outnumber GOP foam fingers 2:1 inside the convention hall

@BlueDragon This is an insane resolution the likes of which people rightfully make fun of rationalist cliques for.

@Panfilo i tagged you below where I started a discussion on this well before market close. If you have some rationale to offer that isn’t an ad hominem attack I would enjoy reading it.

Ratios are not practically interchangeable with division. For example, in rules about maximum rat feces in food products, you don’t get fined/recalled for having 0% rat feces and thus a NaN 100:0 ratio. That would be insane.

@BlueDragon Can resolve, answers provided below.

Thanks for your input I will take it into consideration 😊

Trump says the phrase "finish the wall" to uproarious cheers

No

Someone Destiny has debated is shown on camera

No

MAGA hats will outnumber GOP foam fingers 2:1 inside the convention hall

Yes

The event will bring > 50,000 visitors

Yes

A speaker leads a mid-speech prayer (not a chaplain or introduction)

Franklin Graham

I’ll listen to you on this one, but please explain, as this is a departure from the discussion below.

This guy full-on did a prayer in his speech.

Reverand Franklin Graham is a religious leader who led a prayer instead of giving a speech. My understanding from the creator of this question is that neither prayers from religious leaders nor prayers in lieu of speeches should count toward this resolution.

Chaplain /= reverend and it was a speech in a primetime speaking slot. No skin in the game for this one but just saying.

A swear word (pg13 or worse) will be uttered on mic.

Initially I was skeptical but now I am persuaded. Kid Rock calling Trump a badass is PG-13 enough that The Hill "bleeped" it in print. Resolving YES.

MAGA hats will outnumber GOP foam fingers 2:1 inside the convention hall

I am inclined to resolve this NO.

As I wrote early on in the convention, I really didn't see ANY GOP foam fingers in the crowd, JUST MAGA hats. This was a big change from previous years. Whenever MAGA hats were present, I am confident the ratio was much higher than 2:1.

surely if there are none then it's a clear YES?

Well no, few to no foam fingers would mean a ratio of higher than 2 to NaN πŸ™ƒ

well yeah. but isn't the question asking if it'll be 2:1 or higher? that's how I read it!

I would totally honor this if I hadn’t made sure to comment on it as soon as I noticed folks betting this up…

wtf?

Alright this should resolve N/A

@nikki if you have an alternative viewpoint provide your rationale, otherwise you are just trolling.

There was not a character limit at play here. It could have said β€œ2:1 or more”, but it didn’t.

I tagged you below where I flagged this when I saw people betting this up. Let’s go debate it down there.