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MANIFOLD
How many people will attend Burning Man in 2025?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO
>= 80,000 (back to 2019 levels or higher)
Resolved
NO
>= 77,000 (e.g. at least 2023 levels)
Resolved
NO
>= 72,000 (e.g. at least 2024 levels)
Resolved
YES
>= 70,000 (eg at least 2015-2018 levels)
Resolved
NO
< 70,000 (eg lowest since 2014)

In keeping with tradition, these are independent options, so opportunities for arbitrage.

Resolved based on https://blackrockcitycensus.org/

when the final report comes out; will close or extend the market accordingly.

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@wasabipesto you misresolved this

@snazzlePop whoops, my bad! I re-resolved the "< 70,000" option to NO, lmk if I'm still missing anything

@wasabipesto all good! Thank you :)

@mods inactive account, real number is 71,500