How many people will attended Burning Man in 2025?
4
1kṀ7392026
23%
< 70,000 (eg lowest since 2014)
71%
>= 70,000 (eg at least 2015-2018 levels)
59%
>= 72,000 (e.g. at least 2024 levels)
30%
>= 77,000 (e.g. at least 2023 levels)
16%
>= 80,000 (back to 2019 levels or higher)
In keeping with tradition, these are independent options, so opportunities for arbitrage.
Resolved based on https://blackrockcitycensus.org/
when the final report comes out; will close or extend the market accordingly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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