How many people attended Burning Man in 2024?
Basic
26
Ṁ9.0kJan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
60%
< 70,000 (eg lowest since 2014)
54%
>= 70,000 (eg at least 2015-2018 numbers)
96%
< 80,000 (eg fewer than in 2019)
10%
>= 80,000 (back to 2019 levels or higher)
Independent options, have fun with arbitrage!
Resolved based on https://blackrockcitycensus.org/
when the final report comes out; will close or extend the market accordingly.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Will there be a Burning Man with 100,000 people or more by the end of 2027?
10% chance
How many people will fill out the 2024 LessWrong survey?
Will more than 100,000 square kilometres be burnt by bushfires in Australia in 2024?
70% chance
Will Burning Man be renamed to Burning Woman before 2035?
5% chance
Will Bassnectar successfully host a large event in 2024?
59% chance
Will Burning Man 2024 happen and be on playa?
99% chance
Will vibecamp (2024) have more attendees than Manifest (2024)?
71% chance
How many people will attend a forecasting meetup in Washington, DC in September 2024?
🔥 Will More Than 1,355,802 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?
15% chance
how many people will come to EAGxBerkeley 2024?
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Burning Man with 100,000 people or more by the end of 2027?
10% chance
Will Burning Man 2024 happen and be on playa?
99% chance
How many people will fill out the 2024 LessWrong survey?
Will vibecamp (2024) have more attendees than Manifest (2024)?
71% chance
Will more than 100,000 square kilometres be burnt by bushfires in Australia in 2024?
70% chance
How many people will attend a forecasting meetup in Washington, DC in September 2024?
Will Burning Man be renamed to Burning Woman before 2035?
5% chance
🔥 Will More Than 1,355,802 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season?
15% chance
Will Bassnectar successfully host a large event in 2024?
59% chance
how many people will come to EAGxBerkeley 2024?