🏅 Top traders

As far as I can tell, this hasn't happened yet? The media is reporting what they expect to happen, but the announcement hasn't been made yet.

I will reresolve if it doesn’t happen today “officially”. It is true that she hasn’t announced this publicly yet, so the criticism is fair.

https://x.com/KamalaHarris/status/1820828396298879294 We got it now.

x.com

@BlueDragon It happened. Aug 6 resolves YES.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-unveil-vice-presidential-pick-race-against-trump-2024-08-06/

WASHINGTON, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Kamala Harris will unveil her vice presidential running mate on Tuesday, her first major decision as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate and another step in her quest to win the White House in November.

https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/kamala-harris-vp-nominees-choice-running-mate-has-accepted-per-source

This is in EST, right?

The dust is still settling for battleground polling averages. PA has an early lead as the most decisive state in most models, pointing to Shapiro as VP pick.

However that could still change. IMO Harris had best wait until the turning point state ranking stabilizes if she wishes to make the most strategic VP choice.

I’m going to hold off on adding more days until Wednesday. If the market isn’t resolved by then, I’ll add Aug 9, etc until the VP is announced.

@mods can I get an NA?

No we unfortunately can’t N/A an individual option in a linked multiple choice market

I can rename it so people dont mistakenly bet on it

Aug 8 twice?

Ah crud. Thanks.

Hi @traders unfortunately due to a bug I can’t add Aug 7 this morning. Reported in Discord and hopefully resolved quickly.

Why would you add Aug 7?? Seems obvious most "other" bets were placed on the ground that it wasn't included ...

@CateHall That's fine, the Other option is split into Other and the new option when a new option is added, so payouts remain the same as if it wasn't added for Other holders

Specifically, If you hold n YES on other, post split you get n YES other and n YES on the new option, and if you have n NO on other you get n YES shares of all options but other and the new option

Yep also please see Description. I’ve added a new day each day since I created this market.

But then I also think not adding Aug 7 yet isn’t the end of the world.

Aug 7 added

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/30/harris-first-rally-running-mate-tuesday-philadelphia-00171999

Yes. Tuesday Aug 6.

Can days that have passed resolve NO? I think it depends on how market was set up but would appreciate if @BlueDragon checked.

They can’t. I checked.

Dang it I forgot to make the options independent :(. Sorry that would be even more fun.