Where was Assad? (12/8/24, 1:55am EST)
46
1kṀ20k
resolved Mar 26
100%96%
Syria
0.1%
Iran
3%
Russia
0.4%
United Arab Emirates
0.1%
Lebanon
0.1%
Turkey
0.3%Other

https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1865651411851117026

[edit for clarification]

Where was Bashar al-Assad at 1:55am EST on 12/8/2024?

DEAD or ALIVE

  • Update 2024-13-12 (PST): If no credible reporting answers this question by 3/8/2025 (90 days), market will resolve as N/A (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-03-17 (PST): • Resolution Option: The market will be resolved to Syria based on the interpretation of credible sources. • Timing Rationale: The creator’s analysis of flight times implies that Assad remained in Syria at 1:55am EST, since his departure took place later on 8 December 2024. • Evidence Cited: The Reuters, NYT, and Guardian sources support this conclusion. • Resolution Timing: The market is planned to be resolved on 3/24/2025, subject to objections raised before that date. (AI summary of creator comment)

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