What [mathematical statement] will happen by [date]?
7
Ṁ2.3kṀ1k2029
41%
OpenAI Open Problems saturated by Jan 2028
41%
Goldbach conjecture solved by May 2027
41%
Odd perfect numbers by EoY 2027.
32%
Hodge conjecture solved by June 2027
30%
≥4 Millenniums by Feb 2027
27%
Yang-Mills existence and mass gap solved by May 2027
25%
≥6 Millennium by EoY 2027
25%
The entire pre-2026 mathematical edifice is considered solved by EoY 2029
25%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture solved by EoY 2026
25%
Twin Prime conjecture solved by EoY 2026
20%
RH solved by June 2027
15%
Collatz by EoY 2027
8%
P vs NP by Dec 2027
A problem is counted as solved if a proof was found, if a disproof was found, or if there exists a proof that the statement is independent from standard axioms.
"by June 2027" means "by EoM June 2027". Same for years.
Poincaré and NS count toward ≥4 and ≥6.
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I'm at ~50% [held lightly] on each of these statements resolving positively (individually, though obviously their resolution is highly non-independent).