By the end of 2023, will I see a Rainbolt / GeoGuessr guy meme about manifold.markets?
8
170Ṁ277
resolved Jan 21
Resolved
NO

The guy in question:

https://old.reddit.com/r/nextfuckinglevel/comments/s7ppq2/this_dudes_skills_on_geoguessr/

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/people/rainbolt

To resolve, I will employ the following criteria:

  • It features the facial likeness of the person, with a joke or observation which also involves manifold.markets . Inside jokes that require at least a passing knowledge of an aspect of the site or its culture are permitted (and would probably be funnier too.) (For example: "Destiny traders adjusting their perm stocks after a stream")

  • For it to be considered a meme, it must spread. Therefore I'll only be considering images or video on sites other than manifold.markets (For example: a twitter user posting the image out of context.)

    • To the extent possible, it should be in a context the "Bets By Anon" account is not involved in. This is to guard against someone just making one and sending it to me after betting. It is a bit shaky to prove, but if there is a winner, I'll be indicating the precise location I've seen it, to the extent anonymity permits.

    • I'll try not to go out of my way to look for it.

  • Sanity/effort: Memes can seem incoherent when they require insider knowlege. But it's also easy to be low-effort incoherent, without anything coherent backing it. I will create one or more additional markets to outsource judgment on ambiguous cases, the precise details of which will be decided at a later date.

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📢Re-Resolved to NO ; Creator came back

⚠Unreceptive to pings ; AFK Creator

📢Resolved to N/A ;Per CG (personal)

@SirCryptomind Damn, my bad. If anyone betting on this is curious, answer would have been "NO"

@BetsByAnon I can reverse it

@BetsByAnon Can you please resolve?

Huh. I edited the description to say "I will not be trading on this market, but I will be trading on the market for ambiguous cases", but it disappeared. Cache issue?

@BetsByAnon Yes, this is a known bug with edits, they don't update the cache and therefore don't show up for the first few minutes. It'll appear eventually. You can also open your javascript console and type "localStorage.clear()" and then reload the page to fix it immediately.

@IsaacKing Oh, so it's on my end entirely? Good to know.

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