This market resolves based on whether the U.S. government imposes any form of sanctions on Justice Alexandre de Moraes on or before December 31, 2025, as requested by Congressman Rich McCormick and others.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the U.S. government (Treasury Department, State Department, or White House) regarding sanctions specifically naming Justice Alexandre de Moraes.
References:
Background
Alexandre de Moraes is a Brazilian Supreme Court Justice who has been at the center of controversy regarding his rulings on social media content moderation in Brazil. He has issued orders requiring platforms like X (formerly Twitter) to remove certain content and suspend accounts, leading to tensions with U.S. tech companies and their owners, including Elon Musk.
In response to these actions, some U.S. lawmakers have called for sanctions against Justice de Moraes. Congressman Rich McCormick and others have formally requested that the U.S. government take action against him, citing concerns about freedom of speech and what they perceive as judicial overreach.
Trump Media & Technology Group (which owns Truth Social) and Rumble have filed lawsuits in U.S. federal court against Justice de Moraes, alleging his orders violate the First Amendment.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to YES if, at any time before 2025 EOY, the United States government officially imposes sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes.
For resolution purposes:
Sanctions must be formally announced by an official U.S. government entity (Treasury Department, State Department, or White House)
The sanctions must specifically name Justice Alexandre de Moraes as a target
Any form of sanctions qualifies, including but not limited to:
Asset freezes
Travel bans
Visa restrictions
Prohibitions on U.S. persons conducting business with him
The market will resolve to NO if no such sanctions are imposed by the end of 2025.
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