how many oly proposals until i get a gf
10
250Ṁ1778
2030
22.5 problems
expected
6%
0-4
12%
5-9
9%
10-14
9%
15-19
13%
20-24
13%
25-29
13%
30-39
13%
40-49
12%
50+

Starting from today, how many oly proposals until I get a girlfriend? Or, if I'm still single by 2030 then just how many proposals by the end of 2030.

The market ends as soon as I get a girlfriend. Proposals count if they get published before the market ends, and they must be proposals for some proof-based olympiad where contestants submit written responses. For example, this includes the following:

  • IMO

  • ISL (year 2029 or earlier)

  • USAMO

  • HMMT Team Round

  • HMIC

  • The Mathcamp QQ

  • Some AoPS Mock Olympiad

  • ELMO Shortlist

On the other hand, rejected proposals and proposals to short-answer contests do not count. If I post a problem to HSO or OTIS for fun, that also does not count.

For reference, at the time of making this market, I am currently a rising hs senior. I was basically ineligible to propose any olympiad problems before the summer of 2024, but in the past year I have proposed 9 problems under this criteria to the ELMO Shortlist and the Mathcamp QQ.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy