Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 2nd State Senate district. The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.

Background

California's 2nd State Senate district is currently represented by Mike McGuire, a Democrat who has served since 2014.

The district encompasses the North Coast of California, including all of Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, Mendocino, and Trinity counties, as well as parts of Sonoma County. (ballotpedia.org)

Considerations

• Political Landscape: The district has historically leaned Democratic, which may impact the strategies of potential candidates.

• Candidate Announcements: As the election approaches, more candidates are likely to declare their intentions, potentially affecting the dynamics of the race.