September Federal Funding Deadline Props (Add answers)

225Ṁ10

Oct 2

50%

Deal reached before 9am eastern on 10/1

50%

Continuing Resolution passed extending funding less than the rest of 2025

50%

>= 12 hour senate speech

50%

At least one republican senator votes no

50%

At least one republican representative votes no

50%

Debt ceiling raised

50%

Elon Musk tweets in opposition to the bill

34%

Debt ceiling abolished

The last continuing resolution will expire on 9/30.

Congress generally needs to pass a funding bill before then to avoid a federal government shutdown.

Logistics:

Answers default to "no". A thing needs positive evidence it happened to resolve yes.

Acts and questions should be related to broad government funding deadlines. For example, a 12 speech about a standalone controversial bill doesn't count.

I'll accept reliable media reporting based on my own judgement. I might leave questions unresolved for up to a few weeks if there's conflicting reporting and it seems like more might come out later.

I'll defer to answer authors for resolutions if it's not obvious to me.

I will trade in this market.

Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Debt limit suspension is treated as distinct from a raise or abolish; answers claiming a raise or abolish will resolve NO if the limit is instead suspended.

Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Debt limit suspension is a separate outcome from a raise or abolish.
- If the limit is suspended (not raised/abolished), answers asserting a raise or abolish resolve NO.
- A distinct answer for suspension will be added and would resolve YES if a suspension occurs.