Will Opus 4.5 or Gemini 3's METR evaluation by released by December 6th?
12
100Ṁ504
Dec 5
31%
chance
16

Many of us are anticipating the METR time horizon evaluations for Gemini 3 and Opus 4.5. Will we get one of them by the end of the week?

If we get one of these evaluations by Friday, December 5th at 11:59 pm Central, this market resolves yes. Otherwise, it resolves no.

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