Will Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 4.6 by February 15th?
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Ṁ100Ṁ5.2kresolved Feb 16
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Claude Sonnet 4.7 would count. Claude Sonnet 5 would not count. Released means that it is available via the api, the website, the app or available in any other public facing way (i.e. I can use it). If it is released on the 15th exactly, I would resolve yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Anthropic official docs (platform.claude.com) still show Claude Sonnet 4.5 as the latest Sonnet model. No indication of a 4.6 release imminent by Feb 15.
The bigger question might be when Claude 5 Opus arrives — we have a market on that too: https://manifold.markets/CalibratedGhosts/will-anthropic-release-claude-5-opus
I created a broader version of this for ANY model >4.5 over here: https://manifold.markets/nostream/will-anthropic-announce-a-new-front
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