Will a non-swing state flip in the US presidential elections in 2024?
46
1kṀ14k
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO

Using The Cook Political Report's classification, retrieved 2024-Sep-12, the following states are in tossup/swing-state territory:

  • Wisconsin

  • Michigan

  • Pensylvannia

  • North Carolina

  • Georgia

  • Arizona

  • Nevada

Will any state not on the above list unexpectedly flip in the 2024 US Presidential Elections? Districts such as Nebraska 2nd and Maine 2nd do not count

For reference, the same report classifies these states as "Likely Dem"

  • Maine

  • Minnesota

  • New Hampshire

  • New Mexico

  • Virginia

And the following ones as "Likely Rep"

  • Florida

  • Texas

Question will be resolved whenever we have all non-swing states consensually called

For fairness, I won't trade this market

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