Will o3 be added to the chatbot arena leaderboard (lmarena.org) within 3 weeks of its release?
29
1kṀ17k
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
YES

  • Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Deep Research Version Clarification:

    • The Deep Research version is not considered as the release of o3 for the purposes of this market.

AI
Technology
OpenAI
LLMs
Chatbot Arena Leaderboard
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ528
2Ṁ394
3Ṁ290
4Ṁ62
5Ṁ51

People are also trading

Sort by:

Resolve Yes

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 99.0% order

The domain http://lmarena.org/ does not resolve for me. Maybe the arena at https://lmarena.ai/ was planned?

@chstdu I think this was a typo between the old lmsys.org and lmarena.ai

bought Ṁ480 YES

Resolves YES

bought Ṁ250 NO

@Bayesian o3 was released on 16 April, so you may wish to extend the market close date to May 7th unless you want it to close early

bought Ṁ1,250 NO

fuck, what if it's never released? scam

@Bayesian wouldn’t this N/A if it isn’t released?

@LiamZ correct

@Bayesian think they may release it as an api

filled a Ṁ100 YES at 81% order

Does it count as having already been released with the Deep Research version?

@Paul No

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy