Will Gemma 4 124B be released?

Question

For the purpose of this market, any Gemma 4 with 100-200B parameters counts as "close enough" to count. Gemma 4.5 or similar doesn't count. Must be released within 2 months of Gemma 4 initial releases

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 26% chance (5 traders, as of Apr 3, 2026).

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