Will a market structure that incentivize betting on long term markets be found, by the end of May?
10
57
Ṁ276Ṁ280
Jun 1
22%
chance
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1M
ALL
if a market structure resolves the problem, and doesn't rely on:
a lot of currency-printing
a lot of inflation
omniscience (knowing how a market will resolve before it resolves)
the market resolves YES. If one of those properties don't hold, but the market structure is one that real money prediction markets could use and it would make financial sense to do so, also resolves YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
I'll let moderators resolve this if there's any ambiguity bc i have a take and a position and wanna bet on it
Get Ṁ200 play money
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