MANIFOLD
M3 (Minimax) release date
2
Ṁ250Ṁ299
Dec 1
4%
Before March 2026
13%
Before April 2026
17%
Before May 2026
34%
Before June 2026
50%
Before July 2026
61%
Before August 2026
72%
Before September 2026
76%
Before October 2026
83%
Before November 2026
87%
Before December 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as 'M3 Pro' or similar variants, will count for the purpose of this market, as long as the model is generally understood to be Minimax's M3.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

GPT 5.4 (OpenAI) release date

GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date

Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date

Grok 5 (xAI) release date

Llama 5 (Meta) release date

V4 (DeepSeek) release date

R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date

Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date

GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date

M3 (Minimax) release date (this market)

Mistral 4 (Mistral) release date

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Veo 4 (Google) release date

New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date

'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date

Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date

Market context
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