Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
M3 (Minimax) release date
22
Ṁ250Ṁ2.7k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO
Before March 2026
Resolved
NO
Before April 2026
Resolved
NO
Before May 2026
Resolved
NO
Before June 2026
Resolved
YES
Before July 2026
Resolved
YES
Before August 2026
Resolved
YES
Before September 2026
Resolved
YES
Before October 2026
Resolved
YES
Before November 2026
Resolved
YES
Before December 2026

Minor changes to the name, such as 'M3 Pro' or similar variants, will count for the purpose of this market, as long as the model is generally understood to be Minimax's M3.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

Grok 5 (xAI) release date

Gemini 3.2 (Google) release date

Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date

Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date

GPT 5.5 (OpenAI) release date

GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date

Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date

Claude Mythos (Anthropic) release date

V4 (DeepSeek) release date

R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date

Llama 5 (Meta) release date

Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date

Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date

GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date

M3 (Minimax) release date (this market)

Gemma 4 (Google) release date

OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date

Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date

Veo 4 (Google) release date

New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date

'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ180
2Ṁ30
3Ṁ29
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ26
Sort by:
bought Ṁ113 YES

@Bayesian resolve pls