Is the mysterious coding model on the LM Arena, o3-alpha, the upcoming open-source OpenAI model?
9
100Ṁ570resolved Aug 7
Resolved
NO19
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is uncertainty about this, I will try to get the most accurate picture of the situation after the model is released, and resolve accordingly. (or N/A if i am sufficiently uncertain)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ34 | |
| 2 | Ṁ24 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will openAI cancel o5 model?
77% chance
Does O3 use the same base model as O1? (Conditional on any OpenAI confirmation)
46% chance
If OpenAI open-sources o3-mini*, will it open-source an even more powerful model before July 2026?
66% chance
Will OpenAI launch a model even more expensive than o1-pro in 2025?
39% chance
Will OpenAI refer to o3 as AGI?
2% chance