Gemini 3.0 Prop Bets
7
1káš631Dec 31
70%
Gemini app tops App Store (#1) within 1 month of Gemini 3 release
69%
Gemini 3.0 Flash released before Gemini 3.0 Pro (includes experimental versions)
63%
2M+ context window on Gemini 3.0 Pro
55%
new SOTA at FrontierMath Tier 4 from some gemini 3 model (deepthink counts)
52%
new SOTA at FrontierMath Tiers 1-3 from some gemini 3 model (deepthink counts)
45%
new SOTA at MMLU
41%
DeepThink version released within 2 months of Gemini 3.0 Pro release
27%
DeepThink version of model released alongside Gemini 3.0 Pro
20%
Gemini 3.0 Ultra announced in main Gemini 3.0 announcement
20%
native image-out capabilities on launch
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000