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MANIFOLD
Gemini 3.0 Pro output token cost at launch?
9
Ṁ1kṀ8.3k
resolved Jun 22
100%99.0%
$10 - $12.5
0.1%
<$2.5
0.1%
$2.5 - $5
0.1%
$5 - $7.5
0.1%
$7.5 - $10
0.3%
$12.5 - $15
0.3%
$15 - $17.5
0.1%
$17.5 - $20
0.1%
$20 - $22.5
0.1%Other

Ranges are left-inclusive.

API price per million output tokens of Gemini 3 Pro.

If there are multiple versions of Gemini 3 Pro at launch, like different thinking variants (eg. instant, low, medium, high), this will resolve to the one closest to medium thinking variant (intended to act as the default), rounded down (meaning low gets priority over high).

If cost varies with more generation (eg. past 200k tokens, cost increases), the market will consider only the cost before the threshold.

This market, had it been about Gemini 2.5 Pro (at least the current prices available at the gemini api), would have been deemed $10, and resolved to the range $10 - $12.5.

If you think some other ambiguity may arise, name the price at which you bet it will come up.

Market context
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@Bayesian output cost of Gemini 3.0 Pro is 12 USD per 1 million token.