This market resolves based on the release of Meta's model currently codenamed 'Avocado'. Any name under which this model is ultimately released — whether 'Avocado', 'Llama 5', or another name — will count, as long as it is generally understood to be the model currently being developed under that codename.
The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
See also:
Gemini 3.2 (Google) release date
Gemini 3.5 (Google) release date
Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date
Claude Mythos (Anthropic) release date
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date
Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Kimi K3 (Moonshot) release date
OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date
Thinking Machines' first LLM announcement date
New image / video "Mango" model (Meta) release date
'Avocado' LLM (Meta) release date (this market)
1,000🏅 Top traders
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@Bayesian all remaining answers resolve YES: https://ai.meta.com/blog/introducing-muse-spark-msl/
They don't call it Avocado in that post but news outlets are consistently saying it's that: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/08/meta-debuts-first-major-ai-model-since-14-billion-deal-to-bring-in-alexandr-wang.html
