This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap at the end of July 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
See also:
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ7,525 | |
| 2 | Ṁ3,464 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,727 | |
| 4 | Ṁ763 | |
| 5 | Ṁ730 |
People are also trading
ok i think i see the source of the issue:
So for the top 3 totals they have Apple at 9+75+20 =104%
Alphabet at 2+17+79 =98%
Nvidia at 89+6+4 =99%
Edit: this is not arbing, you're supposed to make money by betting on both platforms and somehow converting mana into cash or vice versa. Maybe instead of having the bot blindly impose those silly prices on us rational traders here, perhaps give it some cash and make money correcting the mispricing over there?
@deagol I see that this is indeed wrong prices. But I am too lazy to improve it, just enjoy the free mana
@Mochi your bot is betting for impossible outcomes when combining these 3 markets
/Bayesian/largest-company-end-of-july-2026
/Bayesian/2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-202 (this market)
/Bayesian/3rd-largest-company-end-of-july-202
So in this trade and another on the first market it's betting up to 104% chance that Apple gets one of the top three slots.