I track this with Stats.fm
For the start i added the Top 5 of the last Year (Ufo,Bonez,Capital Bra,Juice WRLD,Lil Peep)
Artists will be added if they are in the Top 5 for at least 1 Week (in the first Month it has to be #1 becouse its a lot easiier to get in the top 5 in the first month)
Live Stats:
#1 Paula Hartmann: 7969 minutes (#1 since 16.03.2025)
#2 Ufo361: 6068 minutes
#3 Bonez: 5494 minutes
#4 Samra: 4113 minutes
#5 Capital Bra: 3740 minutes
next Person: 2450 minutes (Next Person is at the moment: makko)
Last Stats Update: 19.04.2025
Persons that arent in the Top 5 but are listed
Gzuz 2294minutes
makko 2450 minutes
Lil Peep 1418 minutes
Juice Wrld 568 minutes
Live Infos since 01.01.2025
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EkoVJHEUb9pRhlpK2J4TwKii7qD1nfVyJFAvyN9Cdss/edit?usp=sharing
2024 Top 5
Link for last year Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/what-will-be-my-most-streamed-spoti
#1 Ufo361: 21658 minutes
#2 Bonez MC: 17862 minutes
#3 Lil Peep: 15424 minutes
#4 Capital Bra: 10509 minutes
#5 Juice WRLD: 9889 minutes
2023 Top 5
#1 Bonez MC: 20664 minutes
#2 Gzuz: 9471 minutes
#3 Lil Peep: 8503 minutes
#4 Raf Camora: 7227 minutes
#5 Capital Bra: 5051 minutes
2022 Winner:
Bonez MC
Changes of the first place will be shown in the chart after the first month.
Market will resolve based on Stats.fm results at the end of the year, not based on Spotify Wrapped.
1,000@traders I asked ChatGPT today what he thinks the probabilities are. He didn't receive any information about the probabilities of what I think or stand on Manifold, only the following infos:
Current standings: (07.03.2025)
#1 Ufo361: 4030 minutes (#1 since 18.02.2025)
#2 Bonez: 2671 minutes
#3 Capital Bra: 2351 minutes
#4 Makko: 1647 minutes
#5 Paula Hartmann: 1546 minutes
#6 Samra: 1315 minutes
#7 Gzuz: 1315 minutes
#8 Lil Peep: 1096 minutes
#13 Juice WRLD: 456 minutes
2024 Top 10:
#1 Ufo361: 21,658 minutes
#2 Bonez MC: 17,862 minutes
#3 Lil Peep: 15,424 minutes
#4 Capital Bra: 10,509 minutes
#5 Juice WRLD: 9,889 minutes
#6 Paula Hartmann: 8,383 minutes
#7 Gzuz: 7,619 minutes
#8 Samra: 5,378 minutes
#9 Raf Camora: 4,963 minutes
#10 LX: 3,668 minutes
2023 Top 5:
#1 Bonez MC: 20,664 minutes
#2 Gzuz: 9,471 minutes
#3 Lil Peep: 8,503 minutes
#4 Raf Camora: 7,227 minutes
#5 Capital Bra: 5,051 minutes
Bonez was the winner in 2022 and 2021.
Here’s what he thinks:"