Will Hezbollah invade Israel from Lebanon in October?
98
690
1.4K
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
NO

Following the recent attacks from the Gaza strip, it's been reported that the IDF is preparing for a Hezbollah invasion from the north.

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predicted NO

Would localized raids by Hezbollah (similar to what the IDF did in Gaza around October 13) qualify to resolve this market, or should it be a larger-scale invasion?

predicted YES

@Simon74fe when the market originally opened I was thinking of the Hamas attacks in Israel which were larger scale. So anything about this size or larger is what I'm aiming for.

If we go by Oxford dictionary, invasion is defined as "an incursion by a large number of people or things into a place or sphere of activity.", so that would be rather large scale as opposed to an inflitration which would be smaller scale.

bought Ṁ1,500 NO from 2% to 1.9%
bought Ṁ100 of YES

IDF Home Front Command officially confirms infiltration in town of Ma'alot tarshiha, still waiting on confirmation whether these are Hezbollah troops or not.

Edit: infiltration alerts also in the border area

Edit: IDF home front command eventually reported these to have been false alerts

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Official sources say an aircraft has entered the airspace. Unofficial reports also say terrorist troops have entered towns, still unclear if Hezbollah or not.

The following towns have received a Tseva Adom warning, requiring citizens to lock inside and wait in secure rooms.

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