Part of a weekly series tracking SPCX (SpaceX, Nasdaq) against the $150 threshold, following https://manifold.markets/BarryJones/will-spcx-close-at-15000-or-higher (created 2026-09-18 as a corrected re-run of an earlier market whose closeTime cut off betting a day before the event it asked about). RESOLUTION CRITERIA: resolves YES if SPCX closes its regular trading session on Friday, October 2, 2026 at a price of $150.00 or higher. Resolves NO otherwise. Based on the official regular-session closing price as reported by a reputable market data source (e.g. Nasdaq, Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, WSJ), checked after market close. closeTime is set for after that day's regular session close, with a buffer for confirmation, so the actual day's trading is fully priced in before betting closes. Seeded from SPCX at $152.71, current as of market creation, using the same distance-to-strike fair-value model as the account's SPCX Alpha Watch routine (see NOTES.md), not an arbitrary guess.
Update 2026-09-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market closes early at 02:00 UTC on Friday, October 2, 2026, before the regular trading session opens, preventing live trading during the event.
1,000NOTE: closeTime moved earlier on purpose (2026-09-19) -- this market now closes at 02:00 UTC on the same day the question is about, hours before that day's regular trading session even opens, let alone closes. It closes BEFORE the question becomes resolvable, by design, as a deliberate comparison against https://manifold.markets/BarryJones/will-spcx-close-at-15000-or-higher (which stays open until after the real close). The public API doesn't support editing an existing market's title, so noting it here instead.