Will US Core PCE Price Index YoY for February 2026 be 2.8% or higher as reported by BEA on April 9?

Question

Event: US Personal Income and Outlays (incl. Core PCE YoY) for February 2026. Release: April 9, 2026, 8:30 AM ET by Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Consensus ~3.1%.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 99% chance (9 traders, as of Apr 10, 2026).

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