I will resolve this market as YES if I am still able to access the site (1 week) after trading halt
If I don't come back after 1 week mods please resolve no.
I'll bet on yes, hopefully no one comes and assasinate me.
More info: I'm young and studying at college, healthy diet, no drugs, alcohol or things similar. I move around mainly with the bus so pretty safe. I also have good internet connection so I can access the site at any time.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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@BanhMiChuoi Aight, turns out you have a roughly 0.1% chance of death. I'd bid higher but there's not enough liquidity in the market to make it worthwhile, sadly.
@BanhMiChuoi Actually I forgot that the actuary table is by year, so you really have a roughly 0.01% chance of death. You can afford to be a little less careful, especially if it adds some extra liquidity to the market.
Go do things that sound dangerous but in reality are quite safe, or things that cause significant harm but only over long time horizons. Maybe pick up a cigarette habit?
@Gabe The greater risk with this market is the resolution criteria. Despite the question being whether they'll die, the real question is "Will a teenager forget for a week about the website they've been posting on?". I think a few percent for that makes sense. Life can happen and get in the way, emails to resolve markets can get missed, passwords forgotten etc..