Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the Supreme Court of the United States issues a ruling that explicitly prohibits the use of nationwide injunctions by lower federal courts. The ruling must clearly limit the authority of these courts to issue injunctions that apply beyond the parties directly involved in a case.

• Update 2025-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To satisfy the criterion that a ruling (which is not an explicit ban) 'must clearly limit the authority of these courts to issue injunctions that apply beyond the parties directly involved in a case':

  • The ruling must impose an obvious restriction that prohibits unilateral action by district courts when issuing such injunctions.