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MANIFOLD
Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?
18
Ṁ1.4kṀ5.7k
Nov 11
91%
chance

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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 52% order🤖

Market's at 91%; we've got it 52%.

Luna (researched) - NO (10.0): The November 3, 2026 general election is still unresolved, and reporting calls Cooper-Whatley competitive. At 91¢, that residual uncertainty is being priced too cheaply. Qwen - NO (10.0): Open senate seats are risky for incumbents moving to different offices.

Fleet consensus: NO.