Odd Lots Predictions
2
175Ṁ233
2033
55%
NYC adopts single-stair building code before 2-Jan-2033
50%
Joe believes in the term premium before 1 July 2032
50%
Podcast guest to discuss livestock gender selection tech before 28 June 2029
Resolved
YES
Podcast guest to talk about Buy Now Pay Later in 2025

Predictions related to topics discussed on the Bloomberg podcast “Odd Lots” hosted by Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway.

  • Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that this market will track predictions related to:

    • Single-stair building codes, as mentioned in the Odd Lots podcast episodes from 27-Feb-2023 and 25-June-2025.

  • Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track a prediction regarding Joe Weisenthal's skepticism of the term premium.

Resolution will be based on a well-sourced record of him sincerely changing his mind. This record could be from the show, an interview, or a newsletter.

  • Update 2025-07-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track predictions related to livestock gender selection, a topic mentioned in the 28 June 2025 podcast episode.

  • Update 2025-07-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track predictions related to a Buy Now Pay Later episode, with the following conditions:

    • A guest must be invited specifically to discuss this topic (not as a sidebar discussion).

    • The episode must be released in the year 2025.

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Wanting Jerome Powell as guest has occurred on several episodes, for example the August 25, 2025 episode.

Buy Now Pay Later mentioned on 14 July episode. The guest must be invited specifically to discuss this topic (not a sidebar discussion). Episode must be released in the year 2025.

bought Ṁ223 YES

@B_K the September 4, 2025 episode has a guest specifically to talk about by now. Pay later as the main topic of the episode.

Tracy asked the audience for leads on a guest to discuss livestock gender selection at the end of the 28 June 2025 podcast

Joe’s deep skepticism of the term premium mentioned again in the 2-July-2025 episode. Will resolve based on a well-sourced record of him sincerely changing his mind (doesn’t have to be on show, could be an interview or newsletter).

Singles-stair building codes mentioned in 27-Feb-2023 and 25-June-2025 episodes

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