Odd Lots Predictions
1
175Ṁ10
2033
55%
NYC adopts single-stair building code before 2-Jan-2033
50%
Joe believes in the term premium before 1 July 2032
50%
Podcast guest to discuss livestock gender selection tech before 28 June 2029
50%
Podcast guest to talk about Buy Now Pay Later in 2025

Predictions related to topics discussed on the Bloomberg podcast “Odd Lots” hosted by Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway.

  • Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that this market will track predictions related to:

    • Single-stair building codes, as mentioned in the Odd Lots podcast episodes from 27-Feb-2023 and 25-June-2025.

  • Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track a prediction regarding Joe Weisenthal's skepticism of the term premium.

Resolution will be based on a well-sourced record of him sincerely changing his mind. This record could be from the show, an interview, or a newsletter.

  • Update 2025-07-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track predictions related to livestock gender selection, a topic mentioned in the 28 June 2025 podcast episode.

  • Update 2025-07-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will now also track predictions related to a Buy Now Pay Later episode, with the following conditions:

    • A guest must be invited specifically to discuss this topic (not as a sidebar discussion).

    • The episode must be released in the year 2025.

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Buy Now Pay Later mentioned on 14 July episode. The guest must be invited specifically to discuss this topic (not a sidebar discussion). Episode must be released in the year 2025.

Tracy asked the audience for leads on a guest to discuss livestock gender selection at the end of the 28 June 2025 podcast

Joe’s deep skepticism of the term premium mentioned again in the 2-July-2025 episode. Will resolve based on a well-sourced record of him sincerely changing his mind (doesn’t have to be on show, could be an interview or newsletter).

Singles-stair building codes mentioned in 27-Feb-2023 and 25-June-2025 episodes

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