Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face by the end of 2025?
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Jan 1
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@mods, can someone make a ruling about whether Trump and Xi attending APEC together and not having a dedicated bilateral would count or not?

@JoshuaWilkes if they see each other face-to-face I'd call it YES. there's no description here so it seems literal. but today's news makes it seem less likely, the baby is crying https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/trump-furious-with-xi-jinping-will-no-longer-meet-him-at-apec-summit-in-seoul-as-trade-war-escalates/articleshow/124462900.cms

@Stralor can we say that these markets are identical? Since I have already had it clarified there what face to face means.

@JoshuaWilkes which markets?

@Stralor https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-donald-trump-and-xi-jingping-m

the one

we are commenting in now and this linked one

Will Donald Trump and Xi JingPing meet in person in year 2025?
86% chance. Resolves Yes if there are credible evidence or credible news media reporting that the two have met in person in year 2025 Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Attending the same summit without evidence of bilateral interaction does not constitute sufficient evidence of meeting in person for resolution purposes. Update 2025-10-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump and Xi are both in the same room and they exchange a few words, this constitutes sufficient evidence of meeting in person and resolves YES. If they are in the same room but do not exchange words, this does not resolve YES.

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